🎙️ My Interview on the Contrarian Investor Podcast - INTC, OXY, Hibiscus, China Macro
What Is Value Investing Substack? Learn what we're capable of through three interviews - 2) Malaysia's 8.7% GDP Growth in 2022 + 3) BUKALAPAK: Indonesia's Pinduoduo!
1) Contrarian Investor Podcast - INTC, OXY, Hibiscus, China Macro
Content Highlights
0:00 — First idea: Intel (INTC 0.00%↑) and why it can compete with Samsung ($SSNLF) and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM 0.00%↑);
3:29 — Some additional background on Intel and its business case ;
8:49 — Bears say INTC 0.00%↑ has years until it can catch up to TSM 0.00%↑, but Intel has the necessary machinery to bridge the gap sooner;
14:03 — Second idea: Occidental Petroleum (OXY 0.00%↑), a unique oil play beloved by Warren Buffett;
20:00 — Banter where the guest discusses some recent trades and provides some background on himself;
25:13 — Third idea: Hibiscus Petroleum ($HIPEF), whose management team the guest views as the Warren Buffett management team of Southeast Asian O&G;
29:28 — The case for Malaysia: a view from the ground;
31:38 — There is an ETF, iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF (EWM 0.00%↑) which tracks Malaysian stocks. Discussion of Malaysia's geopolitical place between China and the US;
41:11 — China's Lost Decade.
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Check out our earlier OXY & Hibiscus stock reports — and our previous China macro report!
2) FIRL — Malaysia’s 8.7% GDP Growth & The Asian Financial Crisis 1997
Content Highlights
00:00 — Intro
02:46 — Malaysia GDP
06:43 — EPF withdrawal vs Private consumption
08:53 — Keynesian stimulus
12:26 — Is Malaysia in a recession?
15:34 — Balance of payment
21:20 — Inflation and Unemployment
27:31 — Malaysia - The US of ASEAN
33:10 — Fiscal position
45:11 — What "cost" can Malaysia cut and add to boost "revenue"
54:23 — Why is Malaysia the US of ASEAN
1:26:05 — Malaysia vs Singapore
1:34:15 — What should investors do with this information
3) Compounding Curiosity — Bukalapak: Indonesia’s Pinduoduo!
Spotify + Full Transcript:
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